Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 3.496420 4.118599 4.842885 5.754181 6.878338 8.230279 9.995224
2024-12-22 2.528779 3.277266 4.256378 5.654505 7.638837 10.415596 14.708070
2024-12-29 2.069471 2.847899 3.945013 5.648516 8.310544 12.461573 19.745435
2025-01-05 1.744736 2.513015 3.659736 5.561754 8.774782 14.258672 24.998415
2025-01-12 1.554181 2.329527 3.546896 5.689806 9.579221 16.810250 32.581163
2025-01-19 1.361033 2.105640 3.323183 5.572940 9.907725 18.576353 39.362146
2025-01-26 1.286809 2.059010 3.377877 5.947250 11.237814 22.733115 53.545184
2025-02-02 1.204283 1.984110 3.367727 6.193025 12.371374 26.870421 70.123565
2025-02-09 1.138580 1.927930 3.379723 6.480807 13.672058 31.896436 92.614672
2025-02-16 1.059908 1.836882 3.310484 6.583278 14.574900 36.277489 116.409296
2025-02-23 0.995163 1.763078 3.262812 6.721449 15.605629 41.461926 147.637988
2025-03-02 0.911236 1.642179 3.102690 6.572260 15.852363 44.426466 172.705397
2025-03-09 0.855434 1.581360 3.082411 6.812504 17.431326 53.162897 238.726555
2025-03-16 0.772589 1.457870 2.914903 6.672370 17.942725 58.870878 301.051993
2025-03-23 0.711287 1.369961 2.810077 6.666220 18.872185 66.909940 395.041685
2025-03-30 0.651690 1.277603 2.679734 6.560406 19.448914 74.041153 501.662233
2025-04-06 0.614774 1.229627 2.645576 6.716498 21.018242 87.168721 702.427676
2025-04-13 0.565908 1.148851 2.519283 6.574041 21.444893 95.137084 884.375147
2025-04-20 0.551792 1.145269 2.584214 7.030722 24.453998 120.733018 1426.019299
2025-04-27 0.530868 1.123020 2.597626 7.331212 27.008712 147.227050 2204.228214
2025-05-04 0.513323 1.106536 2.623573 7.683669 30.031929 181.847452 3565.625690
2025-05-11 0.488414 1.069012 2.586267 7.809324 32.076840 212.712274 5357.123603
2025-05-18 0.467058 1.037867 2.562118 7.978882 34.487158 251.735403 8419.399408